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Researching the stock market

November 7, 2009 | Author: Sigmund | Filed under: Stock Market

There are many theories to conduct a research in the stock market. The complex environment has led to the development of many brokerage houses who conduct research work in the market to understand its nuances and identifying factors that can influence its direction. The researchers measure how much volatile the market can be, and based on historical data, they try to predict the behavior of the stock market in the future, taking into consideration angles, swings, and every other thing which can give them a basis for forming an opinion. Even investors who trade sitting at home have started doing independent research work, all thanks to the booming internet technology, and the availability of software to conduct a research.

Research by virtue of fundamental analysis

Research based on fundamental analysis examines a company in great depth, and scrutinizes the financial statement to determine the fair value of the share prices of the company. Te research involves studying the Balance Sheet and the Profit and Loss Account of the company, as well as evaluating judgments based on the Auditor’s reports. Besides, the economic environment of the industry in which the company is operating, the government policies, goals of the company and expertise of the top management, etc. are taken into consideration. The researchers here try to find undervalued companies and buy shares in those companies, so that they can earn a huge sum of money when the company attains its fair value in the long run.

Research by virtue of technical analysis

In this method, no great study of the financial statements is made. Instead, the price movements of the scrip concerned is monitored by using charting and other software. The patterns of the share price movements are studied, and this form of research is normally done by traders who swear by patterns. They believe that markets follow a given trend, unless any contingent happening may break the trend and make it move the other way. They are very specific about their research and the scope of mistake is very little, as they need to be accurate in predicting the pattern, else they could stand to lose a substantial amount of their capital.

The three focus grouping and Technical analysis

While fundamental analysis helps to find out the worth of the share price of a company, technical analysis helps you to know the three kinds of focus grouping.

The first group states that the market does not move anywhere at will, and follows a definite trend on which research studies can be conducted. The second group moves in the opposite direction. They believe that the market moves anywhere at random. So rather than charting, they believe in learning the teaching of the gurus of the randomness theory. The third group belongs to the historians. They rely on the stock market history, and believe that history never fails to repeat itself. Much like the first group, they study the history and thereby make some reasonable conclusions about the future.

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